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	<title>Comments on: Why &#8220;Luck&#8221; is a Terrible Marketing Plan for Your Startup</title>
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	<link>http://www.softwarebyrob.com/2009/09/22/why-luck-is-a-terrible-marketing-plan-for-your-startup/</link>
	<description>Passionate about Startups and MicroISVs</description>
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		<title>By: Why You Should Start Marketing the Day You Start Coding &#124; Software by Rob</title>
		<link>http://www.softwarebyrob.com/2009/09/22/why-luck-is-a-terrible-marketing-plan-for-your-startup/comment-page-1/#comment-42173</link>
		<dc:creator>Why You Should Start Marketing the Day You Start Coding &#124; Software by Rob</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 29 Oct 2010 07:21:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.softwarebyrob.com/?p=532#comment-42173</guid>
		<description>[...] first 6 (not required before you read this one) are available here: part 1, part 2, part 3, part 4, part 5, part [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] first 6 (not required before you read this one) are available here: part 1, part 2, part 3, part 4, part 5, part [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Don&#8217;t Plan to Get Rich from Your Startup &#124; Software by Rob</title>
		<link>http://www.softwarebyrob.com/2009/09/22/why-luck-is-a-terrible-marketing-plan-for-your-startup/comment-page-1/#comment-40447</link>
		<dc:creator>Don&#8217;t Plan to Get Rich from Your Startup &#124; Software by Rob</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 10 Jun 2010 18:53:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.softwarebyrob.com/?p=532#comment-40447</guid>
		<description>[...] And while it&#8217;s true that you might get lucky your first time, &#8220;luck&#8221; is not a plan. [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] And while it&#8217;s true that you might get lucky your first time, &#8220;luck&#8221; is not a plan. [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Stephane Grenier</title>
		<link>http://www.softwarebyrob.com/2009/09/22/why-luck-is-a-terrible-marketing-plan-for-your-startup/comment-page-1/#comment-25534</link>
		<dc:creator>Stephane Grenier</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Sep 2009 17:02:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.softwarebyrob.com/?p=532#comment-25534</guid>
		<description>Firstly, just to let everyone know, my company LandlordMax is more than one person, but not too much more. I prefer to have a small, but extremely qualified, team than a bunch of people. Firstly everyone is happier, and that includes the customers! And secondly I find you get a lot more bang for the buck. And did I say it&#039;s a lot more fun ;)

I agree with Rob here, going for the big win, although sexier, is much much more difficult and fraught with peril. And like you said Rob, although not as exciting, going after the less sexy niches can be very nice. Sure you won&#039;t get covered by techcrunch, wired, etc., but you also won&#039;t need to put in crazy hours forever.

I founded LandlordMax with the intent of growing it significantly. I knew it would never be a billion dollar company, but that&#039;s ok. There&#039;s just not that many landlords. However, it&#039;s not an all or nothing. The goal of the company is to build cashflow, not to sell out. Selling out is by far the hardest exit strategy you can have. I&#039;d rather have consistent growth (http://www.followsteph.com/2009/06/01/landlordmax-revenues-update/). Sure it&#039;s not hundreds of millions in less than a year, but I&#039;m very happy. And it&#039;s not a win all or lose all enterprise.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Firstly, just to let everyone know, my company LandlordMax is more than one person, but not too much more. I prefer to have a small, but extremely qualified, team than a bunch of people. Firstly everyone is happier, and that includes the customers! And secondly I find you get a lot more bang for the buck. And did I say it&#8217;s a lot more fun <img src='http://softwarebyrob.wpengine.netdna-cdn.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_wink.gif' alt=';)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
<p>I agree with Rob here, going for the big win, although sexier, is much much more difficult and fraught with peril. And like you said Rob, although not as exciting, going after the less sexy niches can be very nice. Sure you won&#8217;t get covered by techcrunch, wired, etc., but you also won&#8217;t need to put in crazy hours forever.</p>
<p>I founded LandlordMax with the intent of growing it significantly. I knew it would never be a billion dollar company, but that&#8217;s ok. There&#8217;s just not that many landlords. However, it&#8217;s not an all or nothing. The goal of the company is to build cashflow, not to sell out. Selling out is by far the hardest exit strategy you can have. I&#8217;d rather have consistent growth (<a href="http://www.followsteph.com/2009/06/01/landlordmax-revenues-update/" rel="nofollow">http://www.followsteph.com/2009/06/01/landlordmax-revenues-update/</a>). Sure it&#8217;s not hundreds of millions in less than a year, but I&#8217;m very happy. And it&#8217;s not a win all or lose all enterprise.</p>
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		<title>By: Anon</title>
		<link>http://www.softwarebyrob.com/2009/09/22/why-luck-is-a-terrible-marketing-plan-for-your-startup/comment-page-1/#comment-25468</link>
		<dc:creator>Anon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Sep 2009 23:06:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.softwarebyrob.com/?p=532#comment-25468</guid>
		<description>Rob, thanks for putting into words what I&#039;ve been thinking for a while. I like the lottery ticket analogy as a reminder that only *one* of all of the major startups won in their category - the online media just tells us about them AGAIN and AGAIN and AGAIN. There&#039;s no technical challenge that they&#039;ve overcome - anyone can write a Digg or a Twitter or a PlentyOfFish - they just happened to be lucky.

The other big reminder is that being #1 does not necessarily mean you&#039;re profitable, and if you are, it&#039;s a tiny business compared with any &#039;traditional&#039; business where you&#039;re #1. Facebook is a great example here - undisputed leader in social networking, but losing money and quite tiny in the financial scheme of things.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Rob, thanks for putting into words what I&#8217;ve been thinking for a while. I like the lottery ticket analogy as a reminder that only *one* of all of the major startups won in their category &#8211; the online media just tells us about them AGAIN and AGAIN and AGAIN. There&#8217;s no technical challenge that they&#8217;ve overcome &#8211; anyone can write a Digg or a Twitter or a PlentyOfFish &#8211; they just happened to be lucky.</p>
<p>The other big reminder is that being #1 does not necessarily mean you&#8217;re profitable, and if you are, it&#8217;s a tiny business compared with any &#8216;traditional&#8217; business where you&#8217;re #1. Facebook is a great example here &#8211; undisputed leader in social networking, but losing money and quite tiny in the financial scheme of things.</p>
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		<title>By: Doug</title>
		<link>http://www.softwarebyrob.com/2009/09/22/why-luck-is-a-terrible-marketing-plan-for-your-startup/comment-page-1/#comment-25459</link>
		<dc:creator>Doug</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Sep 2009 20:38:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.softwarebyrob.com/?p=532#comment-25459</guid>
		<description>Hot or Not and Plenty of Fish have a market. Maybe they did not define that market at the start, but there is a big market for people looking at/for the opposite sex.

Do you follow Steve Blank http://steveblank.com/
His book is worth finding.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hot or Not and Plenty of Fish have a market. Maybe they did not define that market at the start, but there is a big market for people looking at/for the opposite sex.</p>
<p>Do you follow Steve Blank <a href="http://steveblank.com/" rel="nofollow">http://steveblank.com/</a><br />
His book is worth finding.</p>
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		<title>By: Rob</title>
		<link>http://www.softwarebyrob.com/2009/09/22/why-luck-is-a-terrible-marketing-plan-for-your-startup/comment-page-1/#comment-25446</link>
		<dc:creator>Rob</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Sep 2009 17:46:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.softwarebyrob.com/?p=532#comment-25446</guid>
		<description>Indeed. I won&#039;t argue against increasing your chance of succeeding. But even with everything in your favor your odds are still on the order of thousands to 1. So while not as bad as the &quot;millions to 1&quot; of actually winning the lottery they are pretty bad.

I don&#039;t think staying a one-person company is the only way to go, it happens to be the route I&#039;ve chosen. In the post I also mention others who have not remained solo: Joel Spolsky, 37 Signals and Stephane Grenier (I think he&#039;s more than one person, though not sure).

Balsamiq is awesome. I used the app in early 2008 and thought it was great, having no idea Peldi was doing everything on his own. He&#039;s a great example of what a single-founder (Micropreneur) can accomplish.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Indeed. I won&#8217;t argue against increasing your chance of succeeding. But even with everything in your favor your odds are still on the order of thousands to 1. So while not as bad as the &#8220;millions to 1&#8243; of actually winning the lottery they are pretty bad.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t think staying a one-person company is the only way to go, it happens to be the route I&#8217;ve chosen. In the post I also mention others who have not remained solo: Joel Spolsky, 37 Signals and Stephane Grenier (I think he&#8217;s more than one person, though not sure).</p>
<p>Balsamiq is awesome. I used the app in early 2008 and thought it was great, having no idea Peldi was doing everything on his own. He&#8217;s a great example of what a single-founder (Micropreneur) can accomplish.</p>
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		<title>By: Anton</title>
		<link>http://www.softwarebyrob.com/2009/09/22/why-luck-is-a-terrible-marketing-plan-for-your-startup/comment-page-1/#comment-25445</link>
		<dc:creator>Anton</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Sep 2009 17:38:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.softwarebyrob.com/?p=532#comment-25445</guid>
		<description>Your perception of startups being lottery tickets ... well, it is at least skewed.

For example, you are leaving technology factor out of consideration. With better (or new) technology one can outperform and outgrow competition, create new markets or re-segment existing ones.  (That&#039;s the reason why technical founders are getting more credit from VCs nowadays.)

At the same time, by following better business practices one can be lean, flexible, efficient, nimble or fast-growing - whatever is required to succeed.

Great technology, better business practices, talent,  determination, and even technology enthusiasm, being put together, can greatly raise one&#039;s chances to succeed (this is a universal rule for almost any venture, though).

Doing technology startups is probably hard and it is probably easier to fail than to succeed. But it is possible to increase the chances - which doesn&#039;t make them look like buying a lottery ticket.

At the same time, sticking to a one-person venture sounds like an artificial limitation for a software business. Engineers and entrepreneurs are different species. Engineers can become entrepreneurs (or play a role), but a single person can&#039;t excel in both areas simultaneously. Specialization is what drives the progress.

BTW, what do you think about Balsamiq?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Your perception of startups being lottery tickets &#8230; well, it is at least skewed.</p>
<p>For example, you are leaving technology factor out of consideration. With better (or new) technology one can outperform and outgrow competition, create new markets or re-segment existing ones.  (That&#8217;s the reason why technical founders are getting more credit from VCs nowadays.)</p>
<p>At the same time, by following better business practices one can be lean, flexible, efficient, nimble or fast-growing &#8211; whatever is required to succeed.</p>
<p>Great technology, better business practices, talent,  determination, and even technology enthusiasm, being put together, can greatly raise one&#8217;s chances to succeed (this is a universal rule for almost any venture, though).</p>
<p>Doing technology startups is probably hard and it is probably easier to fail than to succeed. But it is possible to increase the chances &#8211; which doesn&#8217;t make them look like buying a lottery ticket.</p>
<p>At the same time, sticking to a one-person venture sounds like an artificial limitation for a software business. Engineers and entrepreneurs are different species. Engineers can become entrepreneurs (or play a role), but a single person can&#8217;t excel in both areas simultaneously. Specialization is what drives the progress.</p>
<p>BTW, what do you think about Balsamiq?</p>
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